UFC Fight Night 233: Nasrat Haqparast vs. Jamie Mullarkey odds, picks and predictions

In a 3-round lightweight bout on the main card, Nasrat Haqparast and Jamie Mullarkey meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 233 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 91 and UFC Vegas 83 — at the UFC's APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's around the UFC Fight Night 233: Haqparast vs. Mullarkey odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ starting at 7:30 p.m. ET, while the main card begins on ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET.

Records: Haqparast (15-5-0) | Mullarkey (17-6-0)

Haqparast has picked up back-to-back unanimous-decision wins against Landon Quinones and John Makdessi, and he has ended up going the distance in 6 consecutive fights, winning 4 times during the span. His last fight to finish inside the distance was a 1st-round KO/TKO loss against Drew Dober in Jan. 2020.

Mullarkey topped Makdessi last time out at UFC 293 via a unanimous decision, and he has won 3 of the past 4 fights. All 3 wins were via decision, with the lone loss coming via KO/TKO in the 2nd round against Muhammad Naimov.

Mullarkey stands 2 inches taller than Haqparast, while also holding a 2-inch reach advantage, too. The southpaw Haqparast holds a 5.73-to-4.46 significant strikes landed per minute, while Mullarkey is slightly more accurate on those strikes at 49.33% to just 46.50%. Mullarkey is also better in the takedown categories, posting a 2.46-to-0.32 takedown average advantage, and he has a 0.15 submission average, too.

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UFC Fight Night 233: Nasrat Haqparast vs. Jamie Mullarkey odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:41 p.m. ET.

• Fight result (2-way line): Haqparast -196 (bet $196 to win $100) | Mullarkey +164 (bet $100 to win $164)
• Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -215 | Under +164)
• Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -176 | No +136)

UFC Fight Night 233: Nasrat Haqparast vs. Jamie Mullarkey picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

MULLARKEY (+164) is another underdog worth pursuing on the main card. The Australian fighter has won 3 of the past 4 fights, and all 3 of those fights have come via the distance.

Haqparast (-196) has managed to win just 2 of the past 4 fights, and he is just 4-3 in the previous 7 outings. While he lands plenty of punches per minute, Mullarkey has a number of ways to get the job done, and he'll likely try to get this fight to the canvas as early as possible, if nothing more than to wow the judges.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-176): Will the fight go the distance? is a little on the expensive side. I'd rather avoid risking nearly 2 times your potential return, although I do feel this fight needs the judges to decide a winner.

MULLARKEY BY POINTS (+380) is a better option, as he has the chance to help you multiply your initial wager by nearly 4 times. Both of these fighters have gone the distance frequently lately, so whomever you like, also take that fighter by points.

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