Barcelona vs. Girona odds, picks and predictions
Barcelona (10 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss) welcomes Girona (12-2-1) to Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys Sunday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Barcelona vs. Girona odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Barcelona is a near-perfect 7-0-1 at home. Throughout all league matches, it has scored 28 goals (1.87 per game) and allowed 14 (0.93 per game). Barcelona's last game resulted in a 1-0 home victory over Atletico Madrid. Barcelona's lone La Liga home loss was a 2-1 defeat to Real Madrid. They are led in scoring by F Robert Lewandowski, who has scored 7 goals in 13 matches.
Girona is 6-1-0 on the road this season. It has scored 34 goals (2.27 per game) and allowed 18 (1.20 per game). It sits 2nd on the table and is coming off a 5-2 win over Orihuela. F Artem Dovbyk leads the team in scoring, having tallied 7 goals in 14 matches. Its lone road draw or loss was a 1-1 season-opening tie against Real Sociedad.
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Barcelona vs. Girona odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:30 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Barcelona -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Girona +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Draw +375
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)
Barcelona vs. Girona picks and predictions
Prediction
Barcelona 3, Girona 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Girona has been strong on the road, but it hasn't played many top-tier sides. It lost 3-0 to Real Madrid at home earlier in the season and drew Real Sociedad 1-1. It has yet to play Barcelona (-210) or Atlético Madrid.
It has yet to beat a top-6 team on the road, and taking the draw or underdog moneyline isn't great value given how good Barcelona has been at home. Similarly, Barcelona is too expensive to play to win outright.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+115).
The way Girona plays should give way to the Over being the better bet. It is scoring 2.27 goals per game and has scored in every game throughout all competitions, except against Real Madrid. However, it still ended with 1.6 expected goals in that match.
Barcelona is averaging 1.87 goals per game and has allowed a goal in 4 of its last 5 games throughout all competitions. It has a few of the best midfielders in the world and Lewandowski, who is a world-class finisher. Expect it to break through on a giving Girona defense.
Take OVER 3.5 (+115) given the value here.
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