Michigan at Iowa odds, picks and predictions
The Michigan Wolverines (4-5, 0-1 Big Ten) and Iowa Hawkeyes (5-4, 0-1) tussle in a Sunday matinee in Iowa City. The opening tipoff at Carver-Hawkeye Arena will be at 4:30 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Michigan vs. Iowaodds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Michigan has lost 3 in a row straight up and against the spread (ATS). The most recent of those losses was a 78-75 home loss as a 6.5-point favorite to the Indiana Hoosiers Tuesday. UM had just 5 offensive rebounds and 4 3-pointers in that contest.
The Hawkeyes, who defeated the Wolverines 94-84 in a Jan. 12 overtime contest at home last season, are coming off back-to-back clunkers at Purdue (87-68 on Monday) and Iowa State (90-65 on Thursday). Both losses were also of the ATS variety; over the 2 games, the team with the most porous defense in the Big Ten (78.6 points per game) was outscored 177-133.
– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Stream select live college basketball games and full replays:Get ESPN+
Michigan at Iowa odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Michigan +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Iowa -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Michigan +3.5 (-105) | Iowa -3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Michigan at Iowa picks and predictions
Prediction
Iowa 80, Michigan 76
Moneyline
Iowa has won the last 2 meetings. It plays at a tempo similar to Michigan foes Long Beach State and Memphis, which both beat UM as underdogs.
The Hawkeyes take better care of the ball and tote it to the free-throw line more often. There is some fade-the-Wolverines lean to Michigan's compartmental shooting numbers.
FanDuel Sportsbook has the best price here: TAKE IOWA (-170).
Against the spread
PASS. Iowa is a lean. Would trigger a play at -2.5 or better with an Under prognosis.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
The offenses are ahead of the defenses on both sides, and this one figures to have some pace. But don't expect a lot of turnover-transition ball, and both teams are ranked in the nation's top-60 in avoiding opponent free throws.
Michigan does a credible job in forcing opponents into less dangerous mid-range shot attempts, and the Wolverines have played a tough slate of offensive teams so far, so perhaps its defense is a shade undervalued.
We can still expect plenty of points for a Big Ten battle, but peg this total as being overcooked.
BACK THE UNDER 159.5 (-110). This total has already moved 4 points lower, so consider going in small or waiting out a possible return to the 160s.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X andlike us on Facebook.
College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin /
College Sports Wire: Men's hoops / Women's hoops / High School